Artículos
Factores de riesgo y de protección en la infancia para los que desisten de manera temprana, tardía y para los delincuentes persistentes
Publicado
29-01-2019
Resumen
El objetivo principal de este artículo es determinar hasta qué punto los factores de riesgo y de protección de la niñez predicen la persistencia o el abandono en carreras delictivas, ya que se ha argumentado que los factores de la niñez no son predictivos. En el estudio de Cambridge sobre desarrollo delictivo, se realizó el seguimiento a 411 varones londinenses desde los 8 hasta los 56 años. El artículo investiga los factores de riesgo y protección presentes entre los 8 y los 10 años para 37 delincuentes reincidentes (cuyo primer delito habría sido cometido hasta los 20 años y el último delito a la edad de 40 años o más), 38 calificados como desistimiento tardío (primer delito cometido hasta los 20 años y último delito a los 21-39 años), 50 desistimientos tempranos (primer y último delito hasta los 20 años), 41 delincuentes de inicio tardío (primer delito a los 21 años o más) y 227 no delincuentes. 18 varones fueron excluidos del análisis porque no tenían riesgo de una condena registrada a partir de los 40 años (debido a la muerte o la emigración). Los resultados mostraron que varios factores infantiles predijeron la persistencia en comparación con el desistimiento. Los factores de riesgo individuales y escolares (por ejemplo, baja popularidad y bajo rendimiento escolar) fueron los factores predictores más importantes de si un delincuente hasta los 20 años persistió después de esta edad o desistió. Los factores de protección de la familia (por ejemplo, la buena crianza de los hijos y el alto interés de los padres en la educación) fueron los más importantes para proteger a los delincuentes de que se conviertan en delincuentes persistentes en el curso de la vida y alentar el abandono antes de los 40 años.
Palabras clave:
estudio longitudinal, factores de riesgo, factores de protección, delincuentes reincidentes, desistimientoCitas
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